Saturday, March 29, 2008

Another One Bites The Dust?

One of the great problems with the theory of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is that the projections of computer climate models bear absolutely no resemblance to the factual observations of the real world. Alarmists try to obscure this inconvenient truth while spinning their fabricated tales of impending catastrophe.

The amount of warming predicted by these computer models overstates the actual observations found in the atmosphere by a factor of 3. Greenhouse theory requires the atmosphere to warm at a much higher rate than the earth’s surface. This critical signal has not been validated in the observed data. Warmers tried to blame these shortcomings on the failures of satellites to demonstrate the same levels of warming as surface-based measurements. Even after both satellite measuring systems (UAH and RSS) reconciled their data with one another, dramatic differences with the surface remained. Instead of the atmosphere warming at a rate at least 30% greater than the surface, it is warming at less than half that found on the surface.

James Hansen, the chief NASA scientist, tried to explain this discrepancy away by claiming that the missing heat was being stored in the ocean and that when a critical tipping point was reached, this latent heat would overwhelm us. He called this fantasy his “smoking gun.”

NPR recently disclosed another nail in the AGW coffin. In 2003, NASA initiated its ARGO system to monitor ocean temperature. They placed over 3000 robotic devices in the oceans around the world. These devices descend to over a mile deep for 10 days before rising slowly while measuring each strata layer’s temperature. At the surface they transmit their data to satellites which then relay the signals back to earth. The robots then return to their original depth and begin the cycle again. NPR reports that over this five-year period of measurements the robots have indicated a slight cooling in the oceans - a finding completely opposite to what computer models had predicted.

Once again the alarmist scientists refuse to believe what they are seeing and make excuses for the lack of supporting data. As in their previous failures, they cling to the illusion their models are correct, and the real data is false. This is the nonsense being used to destroy our economy and impoverish us all. How long will this foolishness be allowed to continue?

In Their Own Words

The next time environmentalists and their Leftist friends talk about saving the planet “for the children” keep in mind the following quotes that display their true attitudes and intent:

“Human happiness, and certainly human fecundity, are not as important as a wild and healthy planet. I know social scientists who remind me that people are part of nature, but it isn’t true. Somewhere along the line – at about a billion years ago – we quit the contract and became a cancer. We have become a plague upon ourselves and upon the Earth. It is cosmically unlikely that the developed world will choose to end its orgy of fossil energy consumption, and the Third World its suicidal consumption of landscape. Until such time as Homo Sapiens should decide to rejoin nature, some of us can only hope for the right virus to come along.” - David Graber, Chief Scientist, National Park Service.

“Phasing out the human race will solve every problem on earth, social and environmental.” - Dave Forman, Earth First and Sierra Club director.

“People are the cause of all the problems; we have too many of them; we need to get rid of some of them, and this (ban of DDT) is as good a way as any.” - Charles Wurster, Environmental Defense Fund.

“Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the industrialised civilizations collapse? Isn’t it our responsibility to bring that about?” - Maurice Strong, head of the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro and business partner of Al Gore.

“Giving society cheap, abundant energy would be the equivalent of giving an idiot child a machine gun.” - Paul Ehrlich, “An Ecologist’s Perspective on Nuclear Power”, May/June 1978 issue of Federation of American Scientists Public Issue Report.

“We can’t let other countries have the same number of cars, the same industrialization, we have in the U.S. We have to stop these Third World countries right where they are.” - Michael Oppenheimer, Princeton University and lead author of the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report.

No matter if the science is all phony, there are collateral environmental benefits…. climate change provides the greatest chance to bring about justice and equality in the world.” - Christine Stewart, Canadian Environment Minister, Calgary Herald 14 Dec, 1998.

This sounds like they’re more interested in eliminating your children than saving the planet for them.

Carbon Faking

Lost in the politically correct rush to save the planet from global warming is the distinct possibility that carbon dioxide has nothing to do with climate change. New studies arrive almost everyday demonstrating the implausibility that CO2 is the culprit environmentalists and UN lackey scientists claim, while these same snake oil salesmen can’t produce one shred of evidence based on observation and science that it is.

Within the next several years we will know for sure that CO2 emissions have nothing to do with climate change, but the damage currently being done by the anti-capitalist witch burners will have produced untold miseries and deprivations upon the humanity they despise so dearly. Real scientists, who actually adhere to the scientific method, are sadly convinced that the sun is entering a period of inactivity not seen in 300 years. The unfortunate consequence of this is that we are going to enter a cooling period lasting at least several decades.

At a time when we should be exploiting every source of existing energy we have and finding more effective and efficient ways of producing it, we are instead shutting exploration and development down at the behest of false prophets like Al Gore who promise fairy tale fantasies of alternative fuels. Among the most egregious of these falsehoods are the government’s incentives and mandates promoting the use of ethanol.

Ethanol produces as much CO2 as oil and is only fractionally as efficient. This means that you will use more fuel with ethanol to go the same distance as you formerly could with pure gasoline. Corn withdraws more nutrients from the soil than almost any other crop. Farmers used to carefully rotate the fields used for growing corn so as to minimize this shortcoming. The perverse incentives generated by government mean more farm land is being devoted to corn than before, Land that was used for food, and incredible amounts of land that had been returned to forest, are now inefficiently being utilized for growing biofuels .

We are on the verge of an ecological catastrophe due to this lunacy. When the inevitable cooling period begins, we will have famines the likes of which haven’t been seen in generations. Because there are now so many more mouths to feed in the world, the starvation threatened years ago by the Paul Erlich’s of the world will become intentional self-fulfilling prophecies. Environmentalists will be responsible for this calamity.

Doing Our Share

Seeing how the scientists on the Supreme Court have classified CO2 as a pollutant, the time to act has come. To help my liberal Democrat and environmental friends out, I would like to propose the following legislation as one small attempt to address the global warming problem. I call it “Three Breaths and You’re Out.”

This simple but forceful initiative will help to alleviate one of the major human problems causing CO2 – breathing. Since people (especially Republican capitalist conservatives) tend to be very selfish, they take many more breaths than they should. Studies have shown that Americans take at least 25% of all the breaths in the world despite being only 5% of the population. My proposal would encourage people to be more compassionate towards their fellow man by reducing their current 10-12 breaths per minute down to a more sensible level of 6-8 breaths. This is not as difficult as it may sound.

If people just chill a little, relax, and stop getting so worked up about silly things like work, family concerns, and blindly attacking countries we don’t like, we could easily hit these new breathing reduction targets. An additional benefit would also be provided to our economy. Industries such as Yoga and Transcendental Meditation would likely see huge growth spurts and their employment ranks could rapidly swell. Also, population control and reduction would be enhanced because heavy breathing was no longer tolerated.

Since we all know that voluntary proposals like this usually don’t work, the federal government will be happy to join in the effort. Once they make the program mandatory, any offender who exceeds the new breathing targets three times will have a plastic bag placed over his head. This will ensure compliance and avoid any future non-conformity.
While it is impossible to know how George Bush will respond (science hasn’t yet determined if mindless muttering increases or decreases CO2 output), the previous administration embodies the characteristics required to model behaviors that will make the program successful. Al Gore, the former VP, doctor, and Oscar winning actor for pretending to be a climatologist, has so much self-control he hasn’t taken a breath in several years. Although not able to match the yeoman feats of his former understudy, former President Bill Clinton at least goes halfway by not inhaling. With stalwart examples like these, how can any of us fail to do our part?

Solar Power II

Proponents of human-caused global warming claim that CO2 is 7-8 times more powerful as a warming agent than the sun. Rather than making this dubious assertion they surely mean to argue that changes in CO2 volume are greater factors in climate change than changes in solar irradiance. Although this statement is still false it is more defensible than what was originally claimed.

Those who discount the sun’s influence focus only on solar irradiance while neglecting the solar magnetism that significantly compounds its actual effects. Recent studies have shown that cosmic rays can exert very large effects on cloud formation. As increasing amounts of cosmic rays enter our atmosphere, lower level cloud formation is increased which reflects solar radiation back into space. This exerts a cooling influence upon earth’s temperatures. When solar magnetic activity is higher, fewer cloud-forming cosmic rays are allowed to enter our atmosphere and warming of the earth increases.

Solar activity was at its highest levels ever recorded during the last 30 years of the 20th century until declining in the past decade. The global warming that occurred until late in that century has stopped and is now showing signs of a decline. The last twelve month period has shown temperature decreases of between .65 and .75 degrees Celsius as measured by the four primary measuring facilities; Hadley, NASA’s GISS, and satellite data calculated by Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) and University of Alabama-Huntsville (UAH). This represents the largest one year change ever recorded, up or down. It also is a figure that in absolute terms entirely offsets all of the global warming of the last century!

One year’s change does not prove anything and is only anecdotal in nature. But it does provide a strong rationale for questioning the actual warming effect of CO2 which has continued upon its linear increase in volume with no apparent effect on temperature. As should be expected, natural variation dwarfs any human signal that can be found in climate change.
Legislating policy that seeks to control a factor only marginally involved in climate change is not only folly, but extremely dangerous. If the signs we are seeing indicating a cooling trend are indeed accurate, our ability to produce food will be severely challenged. If anything, we should be seeking to increase, rather than eliminate, the atmospheric CO2 that promotes the growth of plants.

Solar Power

As the false prophets of manmade global warming continue to use their fabricated data and computer-driven scare stories in doing their best Chicken Little routines, a real crisis lurks in the background. A real catastrophe is in the making unless we tell these doom-saying profiteers and their moronic theories to take a long hike off a short pier.

Scientists committed to discovering the truth about climate have serious concerns regarding solar activity. For at least 13,000 years the average solar cycle has lasted 10.7 years. The current solar cycle (referred to as #23) has already lasted 12 years. Seeing how the reverse polarity sunspots that signal new solar cycles have been conspicuously absent so far, the earliest cycle #24 can begin is late this year or sometime in 2009. The last time a solar cycle was extended this far was in the early 1800s – a time known as the Dalton Minimum. These extended cycles always precede eras of cold temperatures. The solar physicists are concerned that if this cycle goes longer it could presage conditions similar to the Maunder Minimum that ushered in the Little Ice Age that began in the 17th century. The occurrence of something similar to either of these cold cycles portends very difficult times for humanity. Growing seasons are dramatically shortened and areas conducive to agriculture move steadily towards the equator.

So at a time when we should be bolstering our energy supplies and protecting our quality farmlands, we are restricting energy development and allocating ever-increasing amounts of farmland to biofuels. Already over one-third of our corn crop is used in production of ethanol – a very inefficient and polluting fuel.

CO2 only has a very marginal effect on temperatures as its volume increases. Its recent increases will do very little to offset the cooling period we are now entering. However, CO2 is a powerful fertilizer for everything that grows. Contrary to what the charlatans say, our current level of 380 ppm is below the historical norm exceeding 1000 ppm and not much above the 200 ppm below which plants cannot grow.

We have nothing at all to worry about our activity increasing the CO2 which is good for anything that grows. What we need to worry about is allowing alarmists to put into place policies that restrict our energy supply and ability to provide food for our families.